"China is digging out of a crisis. And America’s luck is wearing thin." — Ken Rogoff
Descripción del Episodio
Ken Rogoff is the former chief economist of the IMF, a professor of Economics at Harvard, and author of the newly released Our Dollar, Your Problem and This Time is Different.
On this episode, Ken predicts that, within the next decade, the US will have a debt-induced inflation crisis, but not a Japan-type financial crisis (the latter is much worse, and can make a country poorer for generations).
Ken also explains how China is trapped: in order to solve their current problems, they’ll keep leaning on financial repression and state-directed investment, which only makes their situation worse.
We also discuss the erosion of dollar dominance, why there will be a rebalancing toward foreign equities, how AGI will impact the deficit and interest rate, and much more!
Watch on YouTube; listen on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.
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Timestamps
(00:00:00) – China is stagnating
(00:25:46) – How the US broke Japan's economy
(00:37:06) – America's inflation crisis is coming
(01:02:20) – Will AGI solve the US deficit?
(01:07:11) – Why interest rates will go up
(01:10:55) – US equities will underperform
(01:22:24) – The erosion of dollar dominance
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